Tag
Scenario planning
3articles
November 2026
3 articles on this page
Strategy & leadership10 min readScenario planning when policy can fork: the HarmonyOS example
For owners, product heads and engineering leads who must commit money while a foreign policy could ease, hold or tighten. The short answer: build one story per branch, then separate the choices that pay in every branch from the bets that pay in only one.
Data & analytics10 min readWhen history fails: how Starbucks forecast through COVID
For owners and finance directors who must plan when past years no longer help to extrapolate. Starbucks withdrew its guidance, published what it could, then reissued ranges; this post sets those ranges against what happened.
- Strategy & leadership10 min read
One number or several scenarios? Scenario planning for business owners
For owners and finance directors who must commit to next year's plan or a large investment while policy, demand or prices could go several ways. The short answer is to build a few scenarios that differ in structure, then test the decision against each.