Framework

Delphi method

The question it answers

When a project lead needs a panel of experts to agree on an uncertain forecast or issue, how can they reach consensus without the loudest voices taking over?

Origin
Dalkey and Helmer (1963)
Diagram type
Cycle
Level of analysis
Team
Topics
Data & analyticsStrategy & leadership
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Diagram

Delphi method

  1. Select an anonymous panel
  2. Send the questionnaire
  3. Feed back the group summary
  4. Experts revise
  5. Repeat until stable

Sources

References

Listed A–Z by author surname, Harvard style. A source with a DOI links to https://doi.org/…; one without links to its page or says plainly that it has no DOI.

  1. Dalkey, N. and Helmer, O. (1963) ‘An experimental application of the Delphi method to the use of experts’, Management Science, 9(3), pp. 458–467.doi:10.1287/mnsc.9.3.458Source page