Framework

Four causes of the bullwhip effect

The question it answers

A manufacturer's supply planner sees distributors' orders swinging far more than retail sales: why does the distortion grow with every step up the chain?

Origin
Lee, Padmanabhan and Whang, 1997; Chopra, 2019, ch. 10
Diagram type
Hub diagram
Level of analysis
Industry
Delivery lorry pulling a chain of linked glass boxes, icon for supply chain

Diagram

Four causes of the bullwhip effect

Bullwhip effect
Demand-signal processing
Order batching
Price fluctuation
Rationing and shortage gaming

Pitfalls

Pitfall

Curing it only with "better forecasts"; in practice retail data sharing and changes to pricing and batching are needed.

Sources

References

Listed A–Z by author surname, Harvard style. A source with a DOI links to https://doi.org/…; one without links to its page or says plainly that it has no DOI.

  1. Chopra, S. (2019) Supply chain management: strategy, planning, and operation (7th global edn). Harlow: Pearson.No DOIpearson.comCited in 4 articles
  2. Lee, H.L., Padmanabhan, V. and Whang, S. (1997) ‘Information distortion in a supply chain: the bullwhip effect’, Management Science, 43(4), pp. 546–558.doi:10.1287/mnsc.43.4.546Cited in 1 article