Iceberg model
When the same problem keeps coming back despite earlier fixes, what should a team leader or business owner ask to find the structures and mental models producing it?
- Origin
- Goodman, 1997; Cunliff, 2004
- Diagram type
- Process by phase
- Level of analysis
- Team

Diagram
Iceberg model
- Top to bottom
- EventsWhat happened? The visible part.
- PatternsWhat has been happening? Which trends have emerged?
- StructureWhat is producing the patterns? In organisations, often policies and procedures.
- Mental modelsWhich beliefs, values and assumptions sit behind the structures and shape how we read everything above?
When to use it, and when not to
Use it when
Goodman lists the traits of a problem suited to systems thinking: it is important, chronic rather than a one-off, familiar with a known history, and people have already tried and failed to solve it. Involve people from several departments in describing the problem, since their mental models may differ a lot from yours.
Pitfalls
Starting by looking for someone to blame. Goodman advises avoiding blame and asking 'What is it about this problem that we don't understand?'. Authors draw the iceberg with three to six levels; Goodman's three-level version folds mental models into structure.
Sources
References
Listed A–Z by author surname, Harvard style. A source with a DOI links to https://doi.org/…; one without links to its page or says plainly that it has no DOI.
- Cunliff, E. (2004) ‘Connecting systems thinking and action’, The Systems Thinker, 15(2), pp. 7–10.No DOIthesystemsthinker.comCited in 1 article
- Goodman, M. (1997) ‘Systems thinking: what, why, when, where, and how?’, The Systems Thinker, 8(2), pp. 6–7.No DOIthesystemsthinker.comCited in 1 article